ࡱ>  @bjbjFF ;$$7""85T\uA+*k,\,0u,9+=+,,1( /111,1,11x J}e\W0z:~LE0uLzv1t}1}~,,," :   GOV National Report - Australia Country represented group Background 1. Input data In situ observation Envisat, Jason 1 and Jason 2 AMSRE SST Real-time tide gauge network for SEAFRAMES and NSW authority gauges has been established and evaluated. Tides gauge data is being combined with SLP, tide prediction and river discharge data as a coastal daily file. Initiatives underway to develop automatic quality control. 2. Data serving No change to service technologies Operational ftp Opendap server - http://opendap.bom.gov.au:8080/thredds/catalog.html Thredds servers being developed for support of aggregation NetCDF4 data format being tested and software tools implemented onto a linux server NCO operators Fortran netCDF4 libraries 3. Data Management Input data volumes Profiles 500 Mb/day Altimeter 4 Mb/day SST 24 Mb/day Analysis volumes BODAS 950 Mbytes / run Analysis cycle OFAM 5 Gbytes/run Near real-time analysis volumes BODAS 950 Mbytes / run Near real-time analysis cycle OFAM 5 Gbytes/run Forecasts 8 Gbytes/run Total ~ 22Gbytes / run 3. Models MOM4p1 FMS mpp coding bug resolved for coupling with OASIS4 MOM4p1 implemented onto linux cluster and tested on exemplar SUN super-computer OASIS4: a number of software bugs have been identified and resolved and submitted back to the core developers, software mods have been adopted 4. Assimilation method BODAS, Ensemble OI (Oke et al., 2008), 72-members operational Incremental initialisation implemented into trial operational system. An adaptive restoring scheme is being tested. 5. Assimilation products and dissemination Innovations etc stored on opendap server, http://opendap.bom.gov.au:8080/thredds/catalog.html Produce surface maps of observations, forecast innovations and analysis innovations Only shown on internal netork 6. Systems OceanMAPSv1.0c is a minor upgrade including: incremental initialisation, spline interpolated flux regridder, u,v initialisation. Jason-2 NAVOCEANO L2P SST New OFAM, MOM4p1 is being implemented for OceanMAPSv2.0 and BRAN3.0. Upgrade to the ocean model include: implicit tidal parameterisation for interior mixing (Lee et al. 2006?) implicit tidal parameterisation for bottom stress Improved topography (latest Smith/Sandwell) Improved surface fluxes for reanalysis (ERA-Interim) Higher vertical resolution near surface (5 m) Same horizontal grid but plans to shift to 1/10 global next year. BODAS is being implemented for OceanMAPSv2.0 and BRAN3.0. Upgrades include: improved solver using a pre-conditioned conjugate gradient MPI-version for efficiency the operational system will increase the ensemble to 120 members improved initialisations adaptive nudging Quality control for SST exploring options for performing analyses in a local ETKF framework OceanMAPSv2.0 is being implemented with: ACCESS-g fluxes based on the UM prediction system. A daily forecast cycle is planned with sub-daily storage to capture sub-inertial time variability. Coupled Limited Area Model (CLAM) research version implemented based on a regional ocean model MOM4p1 nested inside BRAN or OceanMAPS, OASIS and TCLAPSv4. A coupled inertial scheme has been implemented to derive realistic SST anomalies and SLA under TC winds. CLAM trial operational version being developed based on MOM4p1, OASIS4 and UM7. OASIS4 coupled to MOM4p1 and toy atmosphere completed. GAMSSA implemented as an operational global SST analysis. Operational system report 6 April 2009: OFAM crashed. Rerun BODAS has fixed it. OCEANMAPS has been delayed about 5 hours. 14 May 2009: operational implemented IGDR Jason2 data into BODAS/OCEANMAPS. Initial implementation of Jason2 data into operational system caused excessive run times for BODAS due to number of observations processed. Reducing density of super-observations reduces run time but increases spatial coverage of altimeter data for BODAS A new system to cross-calibrate the satellite altimeters and the corresponding data biases has been implemented. It utilises two approaches - estimation of large-scale averages of ssha over several domains, and estimation of ssha values at the satellite track cross-overs. Both methods give similar estimates for the biases between J1, J2 and Envisat: J2-J1 ~34mm, Env-J1 ~65mm and Env-J2 ~31mm (approximate values as we do not have yet long-enough time series). These estimates are obtained with the recommended data processing algorithms and corrections applied to the raw data. 7. Links with GODAE pilot projects (Argo, GHRSST) Helen Beggs continues to represent BLUElink within GHRSST Susan Weijffels represents Australia in the Argo project Adaptive sampling strategies document was distributed to Dean Roemmich 8. Internal metrics and intercomparison plans Inter-comparison of CLASS1 metrics conducted for both the South East Indian Ocean and South West Pacific in the eddy-resolving region of the BLUElink models. Plan to write up the results in a journal article. GODAE intercomparison period is being used as a benchmark for OceanMAPSv1.0c upgrades to the operational system. Presents a tough test. Bureau of Meteorology is participating in the Quality control intercomparison project. 9. Targeted Users and envisioned external metrics Royal Australian Navy are a partner of the BLUElink project Oil and Gas industry have been provided forecasts over the North West Shelf. Australian Pacific Applied Scientist Associates have implemented BLUElink products into their OILMAPS software. Evidence of the skill of the BLUElink products are being evaluated. A demonstration of the capability took place Non-tidal coastal sea level from OceanMAPS has been evaluated to demonstrate skill in mid-latitudes regions. A total coastal sea level is being developed for regional offices for extreme event warnings for SES and port authorities. Both low total sea level and high sea level require a warning system. A detailed analysis on the errors of the different contributions to sea level is underway. SST forecasts cannot beat persistence of the GAMSSA/RAMSSA analyses. Applications for NWP are limited until this is resolved. Why? discovery of two problems, low variability in GHRSST products, time correlation of buoy data for GHRSST products. 10. Reanalysis activities BRAN2.2 is the latest version (http://www.cmar.csiro.au/bluelink/exproducts/index.htm) BRAN3 is planned for 2010. 11. Computing resources Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO and Australian National University collaborated on a super-computing procurement to replace the existing NEC SX6 system. SUN microsystems was the successful vendor. The system will be based on 2500 Sun Blade (1500 at ANU, 1000 at BOM) server modules based on the new Intel Nehalem Xeon processor. Operations have access to an offsite exemplar system to port and test compilation. Transition of the new system will begin in July 2009 with further implementation in Sep 2009. A LSDSS (Large data storage) data storage system has been procured and will be implemented over the next five years. 12. Consolidation phase and transition to operational systems (activities) Automatic quality control system revision based on review of intercomparisons Initialisation remains a high priority activity Implementation of AMSR-E L2P for robust cloud clearing Implementation of NAVOCEANO L2P, foundation SST to improve robustness and constrain closer to the coast and straits Revision of the 5 day behind real-time ocean analysis. Transition to a daily forecast cycle. 13. GODAE Achievements and measures of success Robust delivery of the forecast system. Most significant issues have been impacts from observing system maintenance. Indication of no redundancy. Publications Brassington, G. B. and P. Divakaran, 2009: The theoretical impact of remotely sensed sea surface salinity observations in a multi-variate assimilation system, Ocean Modelling, 27, 70-81 10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.12.005 Sandery and Brassington, Coupled Limited Area Modelling for Tropical cyclone and Ocean Prediction in Australia, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interaction in the Northwest Pacific, JeJu Korea, 27-29 April 2009. Significant Mesoscale Oceanography article for BAMOS bulletin, Feb, (edited G. Brassington and P. Sandery) Significant Mesoscale Oceanography article for BAMOS bulletin, Apr, (edited G. Brassington and P. Sandery) Hurlburt et al. (Brassington, Oke, Pugh and Schiller co-authors), 2009: High resolution global and basin-scale ocean analyses and forecasts, Peer reviewed invited paper for special issue of Oceanography Dombrowsky et al., (Brassington co-author), 2009: GODAE systems in operation, Peer reviewed invited paper for special issue of Oceanography Hernandez et al., (Brassington co-author), 2009: Validation and Intercomparison studies within GODAE, Peer reviewed invited paper for special edition of special issue of Oceanography Davidson et al., (Brassington co-author), 2009: Applications of GODAE ocean current forecasts to search and rescue and ship routing, Peer reviewed invited paper for special issue of Oceanography Goni et al. (Sandery co-author), 2009. Applications of satellite-derived ocean measurements to tropical cyclone intensity forecasting. Peer reviewed invited paper for special special issue of Oceanography Goni et al. (Sandery co-author) , The ocean observing system for tropical cyclone intensification forecasts and studies. White paper accepted for OceanObs09 Cummings et al (Brassington co-author), GODAE ocean data quality control intercomparison project, White paper accepted for OceanObs09 J.D. Blower et al. (Tim Pugh co-author), Serving GODAE data and products to the ocean community, to appear in Oceanography 22(3) September 2009 F. Blanc et al. (Tim Pugh co-author), Evolution in data and product management for serving operational oceanography, a GODAE, to appear in OceanObs09 conference in Sept 2009 JCOMM ET-OOFS national report Real-time observing system In situ profile data: 2700 observations/day Du sk 26/5/2008: duplicate check up time window change from 30 days to 15 days. 28/5/2008: implemented a filter on GST data extraction to reduce number of profiles from around 3500 to about1500. No real time US godae data during 3-7 Dec 2008 due to ftp address transition. The real time US GODAE data has been restored at usgodae.org on 9 Dec 2008. Altimeter: Envisat 35000 observations/day missing data on 1/7/2008 and 30/12/2008. less than half normal number on 7-8/12/2008, 6-7/03/2009, 29/04/2009. 28-29/04/2009 data recovered on 10/05/2009 Jason 1: 45000 observations/day Missing data on 8-12/5/2008, 8-19/08/2009. No data from 27 Jan to 9 Feb 2009 due to reposition. Less than half data on 11/7/2008, 31/7/2008, 10/2/2009. Jason 2: 50000 observations/day Data from 8/5/2009. AMSRE SST 600000 observations/day Missing 3/9/2008. Systems activities Upgrade of Bureaus NWP models to new system based on UK Metoffice Unified Model For OceanMAPS will involve extraction of surface fluxes from new model and re-gridding to ocean model grid All systems will be transitioned to the Bureas new supercomputer. The current NEC SX-6 array will be replaced by a SUN Constellation system OceanMAPSv1.0c is a minor upgrade including: incremental initialisation, spline interpolated flux regridder, u,v initialisation. Jason-2 NAVOCEANO L2P SST Servicing Maintaining the monthly chart discussions - transfer the lead to the operations staff Focusing on expanding the metrics and inclusion of more groups Contiinuing to prepare a "Significant mesoscale oceanography" bi-monthly report in the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society Bulletin. Products and services Images on Bureau web site  HYPERLINK "http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/index.shtml" http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/index.shtml NetCDF files of forecasts sub-set for Australian region and sub-regions available to registered users Data management Input data volumes Profiles 500 Mb/day Altimeter 4 Mb/day SST 24 Mb/day Analysis volumes BODAS 950 Mbytes / run Analysis cycle OFAM 5 Gbytes/run Near real-time analysis volumes BODAS 950 Mbytes / run Near real-time analysis cycle OFAM 5 Gbytes/run Foreacts 8 Gbytes/run Users 1(b)(i) - customers. The following user categories we know have accessed either/both the graphics and data sets. What they do with them after, we don't know, of course, though most are repeat users, which does say something. Also not sure how many would "scream" if we stopped, though I suspect several: defence of course; private service providers (e.g. APASA on to end users such as AMSA); navigation; offshore industry; recreation/yachting; Government (e.g. marine and coastal environmental management); universities and research; internal Bureau. In principle, fisheries should be interested, but I have no information there. (iv) - usage and feedback. We have qualitative evidence of direct usage of the graphics, especially the surface current/SST forecasts. I give an example below. APASA have implemented BLUElink into their software suite, and have had contact with some real or potential university users. No evidence that commercial shipping yet use the current forecasts for navigation. However, clearly Matthew Turner's company uses water level analyses and forecasts for their ship clearance work. We have got feedback via the web survey last year, which was largely very positive, with some good suggestions to improve product delivery. We've also had some suggestions directly via ocean_services email. The web survey will be repeated this month. (v) - example. Recently we've been iterating with a company making a video on big game fishing. They are taking 2 weeks of the analyses in January/February this year to include in the video as background to their game fish migrations along the Queensland coast. Only a one-off application, but it will give us good exposure in a new community. A second example is the one we heard in Perth at the workshop, about the ship tow along the Southern WA coast avoiding the Leeuwin Current. APASA used BLUElink products during the Oil spill disaster off Queensland.      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