Scientific meeting of experts to understand tsunami sources, hazards, risk and uncertainties associated with the Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone
Workshop
29 October - 02 November 2018
NZ Parliament Building ‘The Beehive’
Wellington
New Zealand
Organiser(s) & Staff
Participation
By invitation only.
The Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) of UNESCO have agreed to support the ICG-PTWS WG1 – Understanding Tsunami Risk’, to better understand the uncertainties associated with two Pacific Subduction Zones; the Tonga-Kermadec Trench and the Ecuador-Colombia Border. This will be completed via two science experts meetings to be held over the next two years. The purpose of these expert meetings is to quantify earthquake and tsunami sources, hazards and risks to support holistic risk management (readiness, response, reduction, and recovery) and target suitable reduction projects. The first meeting will focus on the Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone. A very large tsunami associated with this Subduction Zone has the potential to cause widespread loss of life, and cause damage and disruption to multiple regions simultaneously. Many Southwest Pacific countries are exposed and vulnerable to destructive tsunami with significant consequences. This meeting will aim to focus on the uncertainties of tsunami hazard associated with this Subduction Zone and propose ways of managing the risk
[View an annotated printable version of this agenda]
- 1.1 - Welcome and introductions/role of IOC and ICG-PTWS
1.1 UNESCO-ICG-PTWS Experts Meeting TK Trench 2018_Day.pdf - 1.2 - Overview of meeting aims/objectives/IOC requirements and expectations of experts meeting
- 1.3 - Discussion on regional and global implications
1.3 Kermadec Gledhill 1.pdf - 1.4 - Presentation and discussion of ‘what do we want to achieve?’ and key priorities
- 1.5 - Current state scientific update, per discipline (30mins each) 1
- 1.5.1 - Tsunami Modelling/Tsunami Scienc
1.5.1 Tonga Kermadec Tsunami v2.pdf - 1.5.2 - Seismology
1.5.2 Tonga_Kermadec_d1BF.pdf - 1.5.4 - GNSS/Geodesy
1.5.4 crowell_melgar_gnss_warning.pdf - 1.5.5 - Overall tectonics
1.5.5 Kermadec_tectonics_Oct2018WS.pdf - 1.6 - Summary and reflection on scientific updates and next steps for Day 2
- 2 - Focus: Seismic Source
- 2.1 - Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 1 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities)
- 2.2 - Global practice and global analogues (Slab 2 and GEM)
2.2 Kermadec Gledhill 2.pdf - 2.3 - Geodetic and geologic constraints on seismicity
- 2.4 - Probabilistic hazard assessment introduction
2.4 Davies_PTHA18_rates.pdf - 2.5 - Open discussion on approaches and findings related to probabilistic assessment
- 2.6 - Deterministic seismic assessment
2.6 SSA_PSHAworkshop2018c.pdf - 3 - Focus: Tsunami Source
- 3.1 - Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 3 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities)
- 3.2 - Elicitation process on seismic source model to support tsunami discussions (potential models that can be tested)
- 3.3 - Modelling, propagation and inundation (based on results of Day 3 Session 2)
3.3 JCB_Tsunami_sens_study.pdf - 3.4 - Uncertainty and availability of tsunami inundation
3.4 Davies_Wellington_slides.pdf - 3.5 - Paleotsunami directions and implications
- 3.6 - Discussion of items 3, 4 and 5 and the implications for future science and research in the Pacific/presentation of items not covered
- 3.7 - Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment model elicitation
- 3.8 - Summary/Implications for next two days: Key consideration: What can this system ‘do’? (Tonga vs. Kermadec sections)
- 4 - Focus: Maximum credible scenario and implications for tsunami early warning
- 4.1 - Credibility ranking of scenarios – based on work completed in previous three days
4.1 MANGO_2_slab.pdf
4.1 MANGO_3_slab.pdf
4.1 MANGO_4_slab.pdf
4.1 Outer_Rise.pdf
4.1 Questionnaire results.pdf
4.1 Sesmo_width_50km.pdf
4.1 Tonga_Kermadec_d1BF_v2.pdf - 4.2 - Ideas on emerging technologies that can advance tsunami early warning
4.2 Kermadec Gledhill 3.pdf - 4.3 - Best practice regional tsunami early warning (incl. uncertainty)
- 4.4 - Tsunami early warnings policy, processes, warning systems
- 5 - FOCUS: Pacific wide implications and elements of emergency management
- 5.1 - Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes and following Day 4 (what can/we need to achieve and
- 5.2 - Opportunity for Pacific Island Country (PIC’s) observers to participate with questions and what science and uncertainty means for them
- 5.3 - Discussion on specific vulnerability and exposure following the weeks discussions and meeting Outcomes
- 5.4 - Data sharing considerations (Pacific wide)
- 5.5 - Implications of dealing with uncertainty for tsunami service providers and emergency management
- 5.6 - Communicating science and best practice under uncertainty
- 5.7 - How can workshop outcomes support or change readiness activities
5.7 How can workshop outcomes support or change readiness activities.pdf - 5.8 - Summary/implications/key information to be captured in the official IOC report
- 5.9 - Official experts meeting photo for UNESCO IOC and opportunity to address publicity or communications pre world tsunami
| Code | Name | Updated on | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| WR-289 | UNESCO/IOC 2020 - Expert meeting on tsunami sources, hazards, risk and uncertainties associates with the Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 28/08/2020 |
|
| Agenda | Code | Name | Updated on | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agenda | Code | Name | Updated on | Action |
| Address to the Scientific Experts Meeting.pdf | 29/10/2018 |
|
There are 15 participants associated with Scientific meeting of experts to understand tsunami sources, hazards, risk and uncertainties associated with the Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone , 1 of whom is provisional .
= Person has not yet confirmed their participation.
Participant Stats:
Total Invited: 15
Confirmed: 14
Not confirmed: 1
Unapproved: 0
Not-participating: 0
Rejected: 0
Label(s): no labels
Created at 18:18 on 04 Sep 2018 by Bernardo Aliaga Rossel
Last Updated at 11:16 on 24 Aug 2020 by Bernardo Aliaga Rossel