UNESCO-IOC Meeting of Experts on tsunami sources and hazard in southern Peru and northern Chile
Tsunami Hazard Assessment meeting of experts Chile-Peru
Workshop
21 - 25 August 2023
Universidad de Tarapaca
Arica
Chile
Organiser(s) & Staff
- Mr Bernardo ALIAGA ROSSEL
- Dr Diego ARCAS
- Mr Angelos HAIDAR
- Ms. Wooyoung LEE
- Mr. Ricardo NORAMBUENA
- Captain Carlos ZUNIGA
Participation
Open attendance.
The Pacific coast of South America experiences regular moderate and major earthquakes and associated tsunamis. The significant seismic activity in this region is due to the subduction of the Nazca plate under the South American plate along the Perú-Chile trench, located between 90 and 160 km offshore the Peruvian and Chilean coast. The Nazca plate subducts beneath the South American plate at an average rate approximately of 6.5cm/year, one of the fastest subduction rates in the world (Norabuena et al., 1998; Sladen et al., 2010; Altamimi et al., 2017; Jarrin et al., 2023).
A very large tsunami associated with the Perú-Chile trench has the potential to cause widespread loss of life, damage, and disruption to the region. Similarly, smaller events could potentially generate locally devastating tsunamis. Along the border region of Chile and Perú, there are important human coastal settlements with an increasing dependency on coastal-based tourism. Moreover, the population and key economic infrastructure—associated with important inland mining-based economies—are concentrated in coastal low-lying areas.
This proposed meeting of experts will focus on the uncertainties of tsunami hazard in the Chile-Perú border region and identify possible tsunami sources. Its objective is to identify and quantify credible tsunami sources along the Perú-Chile subduction zone that could significantly impact the local and regional area. Distant generated tsunamis affecting the region may also be discussed. Expert consensus in the characterization of regional tsunami sources will be reflected in a Meeting Report to be published by UNESCO and source parametrization will be tabulated and added to several international databases for use by the Pacific community.
[View an annotated printable version of this agenda]
- DAY 1 - Tuesday AM - 1 FOCUS: - Opening and Introductions - setting the scene
- 1.1 - Official opening - Welcome and introductions
- 1.2 - Overview of meeting aims/objectives/IOC requirements and expectations of experts meeting / role of UNESCO/IOC and ICG-PTWS
1.2. Overview meeting aims, objectives, UNESCO and PTWS role - 1.3 - Discussion on regional implications (Warning/Preparedness)
1.3. What are the impacts of our work_Presentation by SHOA_DHN - 1.4 - Discussion on regional and global implications (Scientific/research) and Intro to local tectonic situation
1.4 The southern Peru and northern Chile seismic gap_regional and global implications on tsunami HA
1.4 Impact of historical and recent tsunamis on the coasts of southern Peru and northern Chile
1.4 Improving Knowledge about the Build-up of Large Earthquakes-Tsunamis from geodetic observations - 1.5 - Presentation and discussion of ‘what do we want to achieve?’ and key priorities.
1.5 Presentation and discussion of ‘what do we want to achieve - and key priorities
- DAY 1 - - Tuesday PM - 2 FOCUS: Science Topics and Open Discussion on Seismic Source
- 2.1 - Evaluation of paleo-tsunamis in Peru – focus on the border Chile-Peru
2.1 Evaluation of paleo-tsunamis in Peru – focus on the border Chile-Peru - 2.2 - Evaluation of paleo-tsunamis in Chile– focus on the border Chile-Peru
2.2 Geoarchaeological records and social impact of a prehistoric Mw 9.5 tsunamigenic earthquake in northern Chile
2.2.Transpacific tsunamis
2.2 Paleotsunami and paleoseismic record from Arica and northern ChileSeismicGap - 2.3 - Tsunami modelling
2.3 Towards understanding tsunami resonance at bay scales through stochastic simulations - 2.4 - Tsunami and geodetic modelling of 2001 Camana earthquake
- 2.5 - Tsunami source of the 2014 Iquique-Chile earthquake
2.5 Tsunami source of the 2014 Iquique – Chile earthquake - 2.6 - Historical tsunami of southern Peru 1868
- Wednesday - DAY 2
- 4 - Open Group discussion on source identification: • Worst Credible Scenario (MCE) • Mmax • Segmentation • Deterministic vs. probabilistic approaches - what scenarios we are suggesting. • Uncertainty in source parameters
- 2.7 - Re-confirm and reflection on scientific updates from the previous day. Next steps for the day
- 3 - FOCUS: Seismology, Geodesy and Working Groups discussions
- 3.1 - Seismology (slow earthquakes?)
3.1 Tsunamis from subduction zones_Principal Challenges - 3.2 - Seismicity in southern region of Peru
3.2. Southern Peru Seismicity – Review - 3.3 - GNSS/Geodesy - GPS Network Operating in southern region of Peru
3.3. GPS-GNSS Networks in Southern Peru - 3.4 - Seismicity in northern region of Chile
3.4 Seismicity in Northern Chile - 3.5 - Map of interseismic coupling of northern Chile & Interseismic loading and megathrust rupture potential in North Chile - South Peru
3.5 Interseismic loading and megathrust rupture potential in North Chile - South Peru - 3.6 - Tsunami source uncertainties: addressing challenges through numerical modeling
- Thursday - DAY 3
- 4 (continued) - Group discussion (continued)
- Field Trip - Visit to Parque Centenario (evidence for historical and prehistorical tsunamis)
- Community Awareness - Public Awareness Event
- Friday - DAY 4 - FOCUS: Open Discussion on Tsunami Source Impact and Report Planning
- 5.1 - Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 3 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities)
- 5.2 - Elicitation process on seismic source model to support tsunami discussions (potential models that can be tested)
- 5.3 - Group discussion
- 5.4 - Summary and conclusions on group discussion
- 5.5 - Report Assignments and Deadlines 15:00 – 15:45 Diego Arcas/Group
- 5.6 - Closing Remarks
Agenda | Code | Name | Updated on | Action |
---|---|---|---|---|
Agenda | Code | Name | Updated on | Action |
Tsunami Hazard in Central America: Historical Events and Potential Sources. San José, Costa Rica, 23–24 June 2016 | 18/02/2019 |
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WR-289 | UNESCO/IOC 2020 - Expert meeting on tsunami sources, hazards, risk and uncertainties associates with the Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 28/08/2020 |
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WR-295 | UNESCO-IOC. 2021. Expert Meeting on Tsunami Sources, Hazards, Risk and Uncertainties Associated with the Colombia-Ecuador Subduction Zone. Guayaquil, Ecuador, 27–29 January 2020 | 31/08/2021 |
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There are 32 participants associated with UNESCO-IOC Meeting of Experts on tsunami sources and hazard in southern Peru and northern Chile .
Name | Country |
---|---|
ADRIANO Bruno | Japan |
ALIAGA ROSSEL Bernardo | France |
ARANGUIZ Rafael | Chile |
ARCAS Diego | United States of America |
BARRIENTOS Sergio | Chile |
CALISTO Ignacia | Chile |
CATALAN Patricio | Chile |
CHLIEH Mohamed | France |
DAS RANJIT | Chile |
EASTON Gabriel | Chile |
ESCOBAR MEDINA Carlos | Peru |
ESTRADA Miguel | Peru |
GOFF James | Australia |
GONZÁLEZ Juan | Chile |
JIMÉNEZ TINTAYA César | Peru |
LAGOS Marcelo | Chile |
LOPEZ Gabriel | Chile |
MAS Erick | Japan |
MATUS Jorge | Chile |
MOGGIANO Nabilt | Peru |
MORALES Jorge | Peru |
NORABUENA Edmundo | Peru |
NORAMBUENA Ricardo | Chile |
OKAL Emile | United States of America |
ORTEGA CULACIATI Francisco | Chile |
RABINOVICH Alexander | Russian Federation |
SALAZAR SUTIL Diego | Chile |
SOCQUET anne | France |
SPISKE Michaela | Switzerland |
VAREA Enrique | Peru |
VILLEGAS-LANZA Juan | Peru |
ZUNIGA Carlos | Chile |
Participant Stats:
Total Invited: 32
Confirmed: 32
Not confirmed: 0
Unapproved: 0
Not-participating: 0
Rejected: 0
Label(s): Tsunami Expert assistance
Created at 11:57 on 27 Jun 2023 by Bernardo Aliaga Rossel
Last Updated at 16:06 on 25 Aug 2023 by Bernardo Aliaga Rossel